Signs of a Housing Recovery

• Pending Home Sales
• Mortgage Applications
• Mortgage Interest Rates
• Real Estate Mutual Funds
• Mixed Signals

Get the rest here:

http://www.forbes.com/2010/04/23/real-estate-rebound-personal-finance-home-prices_2.html

5x: Pending Sales up Fifth Straight Month

Pending U.S. home sales rose in June for the fifth straight month, (first time since 2003) the National Association of Realtors reported Tuesday.Pending home sales index rose 3.6 percent to 94.6, from an upwardly revised reading of 91.3 in May. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected the index to come in at 91.2.

“The housing market is he

aling and the patient is getting healthier at an accelerating pace,” said economist Joel L. Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors Inc.

Pending Home Sales Rise Biggest Since 2001

Pending Home Sales Rise 6.7% / Third Straight Month of increase

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in April, rose 6.7%, to 90.3 from a reading of 84.6 in March, and is 3.2% above April 2008, when it was 87.5, the group said. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters (TRI) had expected the index would edge up to 85 from a reading of 84.6 in March. It was the biggest monthly jump since October 2001.

Pending home sales activity was greatest in the Northeast, where the index increased 32.6%, to 78.9, in April, 0.8% above a year ago. The only region that showed a decrease was the South, where the index declined 0.2%, to 93.0, 3.5% higher than a year ago. In the Midwest the index rose 9.8%, to 90.4, and is 11.1% above April 2008. In the West the index rose 1.8%, to 94.8, but is 2.9% below a year ago.

NAR’s Lawrence Yun, the group’s chief economist, said buyers are responding to very favorable market conditions, and while the total number of existing-home sales is expected to improve, there will be sharp local variations. “The market has already bottomed in some areas, but this is an unusual housing cycle with some areas improving rapidly while others languish or decline,” Yun said in a news release.

Typically there is a one- to two-month lag between a contract and a done deal, so the index is a barometer for future existing-home sales.

Paul Dales, U.S. economist for Capital Economics in Toronto, said i

“The pending home sales index has now improved for three months in a row, adding to the evidence that housing activity is finding a floor,” Dales wrote. Nevertheless, even if existing-home sales were to rise to 5.1 million, they would still be 30% below their peak. Accordingly, even if activity is finding a floor, it is at staggeringly low levels.”

Is the housing meltdown ending?

Pending home sales rose in March for the second consecutive month and are up year over year. The Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of Realtors showed a 3.2% gain to 84.6 from February, when it was 82. The index stands 1.6% higher than a year ago.

The index is understood to be a forward indicator of home sales trends since it measures contracts signed, not completed sales. The up-tick may indicate that home prices have fallen low enough for buyers to get off the fence.
Feeling for the bottom

Anecdotal evidence indicates that trend may be happening. Realtors and other industry insiders are seeing rising open house attendance and multiple bids on some particularly desirable properties. Plus, pricing has become sharper, according to Sherry Chris, the CEO of Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate.

Today, buyers are more likely to bid because they perceive the market as at or near its bottom. An April Gallup Poll reported that 71% of Americans thought it was a good time to buy a house.

The South saw the largest gain of any region, with pending home sales jumping 8.5%. Pending sales are 7.7% higher there compared with a year ago.

The Midwest gained 3.9% from February and 1.7% year-over-year. Northeast sales fell 5.7% and are off 24.1% compared with March 2008. The West dropped 1% for the month but are up 8.2% year-over-year.

Low home prices continued to help to drive sales, although NAR’s affordability index actually fell 2.3% from February, when it hit a historic high. This index is based on family income, home prices and mortgage rates.

“Compared to a year ago, the typical family can pay much less in mortgage costs for the same home, or buy a better home without necessarily increasing their monthly payment,” said NAR President Charles McMillan, in a prepared statement. “For buyers who’ve been on the sidelines and have good jobs, the market has never looked more favorable

This Weeks Positive Housing News

• Fannie Mae plans to eliminate some credit-score requirements, scale back income-documentation standards, and waive the need for appraisals in some cases, starting on April 4.The mortgage finance company believes the changes will allow more home owners to refinance into new home loans at near-record low interest rates.Analysts say the relaxed rules for loans that Fannie Mae owns or guarantees are unlikely to have a significant impact on mortgage-bond investors and mortgage insurers.
• Pending home sales increased as more buyers took advantage of improved affordability conditions, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Big gains in the South and Midwest offset modest declines in other regions.The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in December, rose 6.3 percent to 87.7 from an upwardly revised reading of 82.5 in November, and is 2.1 percent higher than December 2007 when it was 85.9.
• lieberman/Isakson Amendment was included in the senate version of the Economic Stimulus Bill by a unanimous voice vote. This amendment would provide a Tax Credit to all home buyers at the rate of 10% of the sales price up to a limit of $15,000. The credit would be available for a one year period to all purchasers of primary residences.